Many Americans speculated about how a potential RFK, Jr. campaign might impact the 2024 elections. While RFK is neither a Democrat nor a Republican, many of his positions favor Donald Trump’s base over Joe Biden’s, particularly his various conspiracy theories on a wide range of subjects.
Straight Arrow News contributor Peter Zeihan says that GOP members cannot win any election if they become even more divided — that is, if they divide themselves between Trump and RFK. As it is, Zeihan adds, Trump will already need to win over true independents in order to win. Zeihan concludes that an independent RFK campaign might actually be worse for Trump than it would be for Biden.
The following is an excerpt from Peter’s April 26 “Zeihan on Geopolitics” newsletter:
Most of you have seen my previous video outlining how I see the 2024 U.S. presidential election playing out… click here if you need a refresher or if you haven’t seen that yet.
RFK II has a presidential name, but I don’t think he’ll be finding himself in that position this go around. However, he does have the opportunity to cause some problems for Trump in the process.
Donald Trump has created enough challenges for himself by dividing the Republican party and alienating independents, but RFK Jr. might be able to add one more challenge to Trump’s campaign. We all know the conspiracy theorist wackadoos love Trump, but RFK Jr. is catching the eyes of some of the crazies.
While this group isn’t going to win either of these candidates a seat in the oval office, there’s potential for some of Trump’s strongholds to be split with RFK Jr. The impact to President Biden will be fairly limited, as the remainder of those bearing the Kennedy name support the current president.