Why would the uber-Democrat-friendly New York Times run an analysis that portrays the party in disarray (at best) with minimal chances of ever stopping an undeniable downward spiral? You can speculate until the cows come home, but there is no question this headline is sure to depress a party that has sold its soul to the Abortion Industry. “The Democratic Party Faces a Voter Registration Crisis: The party is bleeding support beyond the ballot box, a new analysis shows.”
Shane Goldmacher‘s deep dive into what amounts to a radical change in party preference shows no mercy throughout its 2,140 word long analysis, beginning with the first three paragraphs:
The Democratic Party is hemorrhaging voters long before they even go to the polls.
Of the 30 states that track voter registration by political party, Democrats lost ground to Republicans in every single one between the 2020 and 2024 elections — and often by a lot.
That four-year swing toward the Republicans adds up to 4.5 million voters, a deep political hole that could take years for Democrats to climb out from.
Goldmacher pulls no punches. While I’ll cite just a few figures [they go on and on] that the Times analyzes from voter registration data compiled by “L2, a nonpartisan data firm,” what makes a dire situation exponentially worse is that
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Democrats are divided and flummoxed over what to do.
#1. “Few measurements reflect the luster of a political party’s brand more clearly than the choice by voters to identify with it — whether they register on a clipboard in a supermarket parking lot, at the Department of Motor Vehicles or in the comfort of their own home,” Goldmacher writes.
“And fewer and fewer Americans are choosing to be Democrats.
“In fact, for the first time since 2018, more new voters nationwide chose to be Republicans than Democrats last year.” …
“Consider this: In 2018, Democrats accounted for 34 percent of new voter registrations nationwide, while Republicans were only 20 percent. Yet by 2024, Republicans had overtaken Democrats among new registrants.”
#2. Apocalypse now. “I don’t want to say, ‘The death cycle of the Democratic Party,’ but there seems to be no end to this,” said Michael Pruser, who tracks voter registration closely as the director of data science for Decision Desk HQ, an election-analysis site. “There is no silver lining or cavalry coming across the hill. This is month after month, year after year.” According to Goldmacher
The shifts also previewed Democratic weaknesses in 2024. The party saw some of its steepest declines in registration among men and younger voters, the Times analysis found — two constituencies that swung sharply toward Mr. Trump.
All four presidential battleground states covered by the Times analysis — Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania — showed significant Democratic erosion.
One other of many data points to choose from:
The Times compiled registration data from L2 and compared it to state records across the country to show the scope of the registration decline for Democrats, and interviewed more than two dozen party strategists and officials involved in registration efforts.
“We fell asleep at the switch,” said Maria Cardona, a veteran party strategist and longtime member of the Democratic National Committee.
It’s no secret that Democrat party has for years invested heavily in registering constituencies it could count on to vote for their candidates:
For years, the left has relied on a sprawling network of nonprofits — which solicit donations from people whose identities they need not disclose — to register Black, Latino and younger voters. Though the groups are technically nonpartisan, the underlying assumption has been that most new voters registering would vote Democratic.
Mr. Trump upended that calculation with the inroads he made with working-class nonwhite voters.
“You can’t just register a young Latino or a young Black voter and assume that they’re going to know that it’s Democrats that have the best policies,” Ms. Cardona said. [Emphasis added.]
This last quote from the story is long but could well be a telling sign of what Democrats peering into the future may see:
Not so long ago, in 2018, Democrats had accounted for 66 percent of new voters under 45 who registered with one of the two major parties. Yet by 2024, the Democratic share had plunged to 48 percent, the Times analysis of L2’s data found.
In other words, Republicans went from roughly one-third of newly registered voters under 45 to a majority in the last six years.
The story is even bleaker for Democrats in some key states. In Nevada, which releases particularly detailed data, Republicans added nearly twice as many voters under 35 to the rolls as Democrats did last year, state records show.
The shifts among male voters tell a similar story.
Nearly 49 percent of men newly registering with a major party chose the Democrats in 2020. In 2024, that figure was down to roughly 39 percent.
At the same time, the Democratic edge among women registering to vote has shrunk. The combination inverted a gender gap that in recent years had heavily benefited Democrats.
Few states offer partisan registration data by race. But those that do reflect the Democratic Party’s fading allure to Latino voters, according to the Times analysis of the L2 data.
What to do?
Seems to be two options which bitterly divide the party. The Democrats [“the Left,” as Goldmacher delicately put it] could continue their old ways and hope younger people and minorities would “come back home”; or “target its new voters more surgically because Mr. Trump’s support was growing among traditional Democratic constituencies,” according to Aaron Strauss, “a data scientist who has spent years studying how to elect Democrats.”
In a memo the Times accessed, Strauss wrote (as paraphrased by Goldmacher) “that the old way of registering voters — working through nonprofit groups to enroll young people and people of color in general rather than explicitly seeking new Democrats — might actually backfire in 2024.”
Quoting Strauss
“If we were to blindly register nonvoters and get them on the rolls, we would be distinctly aiding Trump’s by aiding Trump’s quest for a personal dictatorship.”
However, there are strong dissenting voices. For example, Héctor Sánchez Barba is the president and chief executive of Mi Familia Vota, “a nonpartisan group that registers Latino voters.” He said it would be a
“major mistake” if progressive donors cut off organizations like his.
He said that it was the job of Democratic leaders to sell Latinos on the Democratic Party — and that it would be shortsighted to invest expecting only short-term gains.
Speaking of the future, Goldmacher ends his story with this gloomy thought:
Any hope that the drift away from the Democratic Party would end organically with Mr. Trump’s election has been dashed by the limited data so far in 2025. There are now roughly 160,000 fewer registered Democrats than on Election Day 2024, according to L2’s data, and 200,000 more Republicans.
“It’s going to get worse,” Mr. Pruser, of Decision Desk HQ, said of the outlook for Democrats, “before it gets better.”
LifeNews.com Note: Dave Andrusko is the editor of National Right to Life News and an author and editor of several books on abortion topics. He frequently writes Today’s News and Views — an online opinion column on pro-life issues.
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Author: Dave Andrusko
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