Israel v. Iran…Possibilities and Outcomes

Be sure to Click LIKE at the bottom of this commentary, and share it everywhere!! By Craig Andresen and Diane Sori – RIGHT SIDE PATRIOTS

“We can’t let the world’s most dangerous regime have the world’s most dangerous weapons”     – Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s words…no ifs, ands, or buts.

True words…rightful words…words as powerful in their meaning today as were the words, “the shot heard around the world” some 250 years ago. Fighting words…words not open for discussion, interpretation nor deviation…a simple thirteen word statement that in its strength should wake up the Iranian people to the fact that it was their government’s hate-fueled, religious fanaticism that led to those words even having to be said. Thirteen words of fact, that at the same time opens up the possibility for change…change not just in the eliminating of Iran’s nuclear ambitions, but change involving the mindset of those being oppressed…oppressed to the point where a 6th century mentality now clashes with the want for 21st century weapons of war…a dangerous combination whose outcome could well affect us all.

And so with Netanyahu’s statement being unquestionable reality, and with the current ongoing situation seeing the mullahs saying “no” to President Trump’s “unconditional ceasefire” demand…Iran has much “face saving” to do after Israel caught them “off guard” by inflicting major damage to their nuclear facilities, their military, as well as Iran’s mainline infrastructure…damage which will undoubtedly take years, if not decades, for them to recover from.

However, Israel’s actions taken have now afforded the long suffering Iranian people with a rare opportunity for securing much needed “regime change.” How so? Simply by Israel’s having opened a pathway for the many resistance groups operating separately inside Iran to unite together as one, and actually succeed in overthrowing what is their country’s tyrannical and ever so repressive government… a government so mired down in religious fanaticism that when coupled with its decaying 6th century mindset being bolstered with their dream of securing 21st century nuclear weapons…Iran has truly become a threat to us all…a threat that must be eliminated at all costs.

“The decision to act, to rise up this time, is the decision of the Iranian people.” – Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

And so while most of the physical aspects of fighting this now officially declared war is best left to Israel…with a modicum of help hopefully soon coming from the U.S…what is true and lasting peace can only be secured by the Iranian people themselves. Nation building is not an option nor in this case is it a just cause, but exposing the sins committed by Ayatollah Khamenei against his own people should enter into the public discourse so that Iran’s once glorious past can freely become Iran’s now hoped for future.

Convoluted logic perhaps, yet it is a touch off point for those oppressed to rally around for once the physical aspects of this war come to an end, whomever or whatever form of government replaces the mullahs, they will still be faced with political, social, and economic crises that existed even before Iran’s war with Israel. “Regime change,” while desperately needed, is one thing, but said change must come with workable solutions or else it really serves no purpose, nor does it contribute anything of substance to aid in regional stability, regional security, or true freedom for the Iranian people.

And said change, especially via a much needed “populist uprising”…which has led to massive protests in the past…does not necessarily mean that a new Iranian government would follow in the footsteps of what is deemed to be western style “democracy.” In fact, at this point in time “democracy” as we know it does seem highly unlikely for the simple reason that three of Iran’s main ideological factions…as in the reformists, moderates, and conservatives…do have differences and have always had differences regarding major policy issues and decisions, and most likely still do.

But probably the best thing, in our opinion, is for any “regime change” that were to take place to follow the secular ideology that was initiated under then Reza Shah Pahlavi… as in to separate unyielding religious ideologies from what should be a truly secular government. Remember, the Shah replaced islamic laws (Sharia laws) with civil codes based upon French law in order to “weaken the power”of Iran’s religious hierarchy; he also established secular schools and promoted a modern educational system where women were included; he promoted women’s rights in general; as well as initiating land reforms in what was called the “White Revolution.” Simply, Reza Shah Pahlavi wanted to “modernize” Iran and make it part of the then 20th century world…now Iran needs to become part of the 21st century world which can only happen with “regime change”  initiated by the Iranian people themselves.

However, for an actual “regime change” to be successful in Iran especially in today’s heated political world, any new government coming into power must initiate broad based social and economic changes not unlike those of the aforementioned Reza Shah Pahlavi for without those changes…which must include both full rights for women coupled with social reform…Iran would still be mired down in the what “is and what was” instead of what “should and could be.”

And “what is” under the mullahs sees Iran’s economy in a total state of disrepair due to not only gross mismanagement, widespread corruption, and broad international sanctions…especially the sanctions imposed by the U.S…but Iran’s high inflation rate of 43.4%…which is up from last years 32.6%…has seen poverty increasing throughout the country, with Iran now the recipient of the dubious honor of having one of the world’s highest inflation rates. How proud the mullahs must be…sarcastically said of course.

So while “regime change” is indeed most likely to happen once Iran’s foolishly taken war with Israel comes to an end with Iran issuing a formal “declaration of surrender,” the first thing it’s new leaders need to do is form an “interim government” until actual “free and fair” elections are able to take place within a pre-set agreed upon period of time. And when said elections are over and ballots are being counted and tallied…and if said elections were indeed without “interference”…it will be the Iranian people themselves who have decided what type of government they want. And we must let the chips fall as they may as to whether said new government is more friendly to the U.S. and Israel or not…but hopefully it will be.

And while “regime change” remains on the table for Israel in regards to Iran, it is not on the table in regards to U.S. actions taken nor is it under consideration…at least not yet and might never be…but that’s not to say that “regime change” is unwanted by the U.S. Obviously, “regime change” is both desired and necessary if the Iranian people are to secure the very freedom they so desire, but it’s also necessary for the stability of the region, and for global stability as well.

Since 1979 Iran has caused trouble not only in the Middle East but worldwide as well, and for the past four decades has been the world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism. Iran has also been responsible for the deaths of thousands, including American military personnel and American citizens. And know that for the Iranian people…especially for Iranian women…the mullahs reign of terror that is the hallmark of Iran is no less deadly nor less oppressive. Simply, what is the islamic regime as it stands now must go, but as we stated earlier that is not up to us, it is up to the Iranian people to do what they know needs to be done.

Given that, the questions become…how can we get involved, why should we, and who benefits from any potential U.S. involvement?

Obviously, the U.S. has been assisting Israel in a defensive posture, helping to shoot down ballistic missiles being fired out of Iran, and into Israel. As that has occurred over the past ten days, Iran has continued not only to issue threats towards the United States, but they have also fired on, or had their proxies fire on U.S. assets in the region. Granted, threats are threats, and any rockets fired at our bases and personnel in the region have been minimal, but such actions cannot, and should not be dismissed. After all, this comes from the regime that has for four decades been chanting, “Death to Israel, death to America.”

Bluntly put…they mean it, and to ignore it now, in the face of a desperate, crumbling regime would be foolish, and could be fatal.

As to why we should become more involved by engaging inside of Iran, it’s really quite simple. While Israel has done remarkable work after showing extraordinary patience over the decades, our engagement, even on a rather limited basis, is needed. It’s not that Israel can’t handle this and see it through on its own…they certainly can, but at what cost in blood and treasure? We fully believe that Israel has not only the military resources, but also the intel resources to eliminate the Iranian regime, and their continued threat to the existence of Israel…but it would take much longer to reach that conclusion without U.S. assistance, than it would with it.

Israel, we believe, could eliminate Iran’s last remaining nuclear facilities, be they research, enrichment or weapons facilities with a lengthy, and very dangerous ground invasion of some sort. While it may not look like what we would expect, tanks and artillery with boots on the ground, we know that Israel cannot destroy at least the Fordow facility from the air. That is where U.S. engagement is needed.

From the air, with B-2 stealth bombers dropping 30,000 pound bunker-busters on Fordow, the U.S. would very quickly eliminate such a deeply buried facility. Israel has cleared the path to Fordow, and potentially other such sites, by wiping out Iranian air defense systems over the early days of this war. Furthermore, Israel has decapitated the Iranian upper echelon of Iranian military leadership, and put the Iranian military into a tailspin. What little is left of Iranian air defense would have a great deal of trouble trying to defend Fordow, as the B-2 stealth bombers would be dropping their payloads from nearly 50,000 feet, and the stealth nature of the aircraft themselves would make them all but invisible to Iranian radar, or targeting on a good day.

Make no mistake, they are having very, very bad days at this point.

Obviously, there are several scenarios such a U.S. action could take place, but let’s be honest here, our ability to hit a target from 50,000 feet in the dark, is better that Iran’s ability to target a B-2 stealth bomber by line of sight in broad daylight. We believe a U.S. bunker buster mission is more likely to occur at night, with damage assessment undertaken the next day via a combination of satellite recon and Israeli intel from ground-based positions.

The B-2’s that would carry out such an operation would most likely fly out of Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri. It’s roughly a 12-13 hour flight from there to Iran, and it would require several mid-air refueling operations both on the way there, and on the way back. It’s not at all advantageous for our bombers to land for refueling on the way to Iran, as each B-2 on such a mission would be carrying two, 30,000 pound bunker-busters. Landing under that sort of weight would be problematic. On the way back, landing anywhere in the Middle East region would be a security risk, but a stop outside the region may not be off the table.

While the ordinance most likely to be used, the GBU-57A/B MOP (Massive Ordnance Penetrator) is designed to both penetrate and crush heavily shielded or deeply buried underground targets. The specs on the GBU-57A/B MOP advertise its ability to reach out and touch…destroy…targets at 250 feet below ground level, almost exactly the depth of the Iranian Fordow facility. We believe it would also be likely that at least one B-2, or perhaps two would take part in such a mission. Note too that the B-2’s used for the delivery of the GBU-57A/B MOP can each hold two of them, and that a pair of said bombers could potentially drop four such bunker-busters onto one target, or two each on two separate targets.

That should be, and most likely will be the extent of any U.S. involvement outside of continuing to assist in defending Israel from Iranian missiles. We say should be because it really all depends on the actions of the rogue, and crumbling Iranian regime. They’re in trouble, they know it, they’re desperate and they’re insane. While they are running out of ballistic missiles, they do have enough left for an almost unthinkable final act of terror. Don’t be surprised if the insanity of the Iranian regime doesn’t, in one last final act, decide on their way down, and out, to fit some of their remaining missiles with dirty radioactive material, or God forbid, if they do have a functioning nuke, as we have long believed they do in spite of reports to the contrary…they will use it against Israel.

If that happens, all bets are off and further engagement by the U.S. would be back on the table.

As to who would benefit from the end of Iran’s terroristic regime and the destruction of Iran’s dream of possessing nuclear weapons with which they would try to make good on their threats to wipe Israel from the map, and hold the world hostage, the simple answer is…the whole world would benefit. Peace in the Middle East is a worthy goal, but stability is a much more immediate and attainable goal. While nature abhors a vacuum, political ideologies abhor a vacuum of power, and it will be ultimately up to the people of Iran to see to it that such a vacuum doesn’t happen.

The benefits are obvious for Israel and the whole of the Middle East, but most interestingly, the benefit of the fall of Iran’s regime of tyranny might just be the rise of the Trump version of peace through strength. By engaging in limited action, in concert with one of our greatest allies, Israel, President Trump has the opportunity to put the Trump doctrine front and center on the world stage. President Trump has given Iran every opportunity to change direction on their own accord, but when limited action becomes the last resort, a decisive blow, quick, targeted and coordinated to take down a clear and present threat will be taken.

Israel is not asking us to fight their war for them, and they are not interested in a protracted war. They don’t want our boots on the ground in Iran, and they do not intend to invade Iran. Iran isn’t just a threat to Israel, that regime is a threat to the whole of the civilized world that can no longer be allowed to hold sway in the region, or hold the rest of the world hostage. It must end now, and their ability to wage war must be destroyed.

If we sit it out when a targeted mission will accelerate the end of the Iranian regime, we can never be the shining light on the hill the rest of the world can look to in dire times. That’s the bottom line…case closed.

Copyright © 2025 Craig Andresen and Diane Sori / Right Side Patriots / Investigative Reports / All rights reserved.  

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