Recent polls indicate that former President Donald Trump may be in striking distance of winning Minnesota in the 2024 election, a state that hasn’t voted for a Republican president since 1972.
According to an Emerson College/The Hill poll released on Thursday, Trump and Biden are tied at 45% in the state, with other polls showing the former Republican president within the margin of error in the state, which has not voted for a Republican candidate since Richard Nixon 50 years ago.
The poll sampled 1000 registered voters from Jun. 13 through Jun. 18, and had a margin of error of 3%.
“While Minnesota hasn’t voted Republican at the presidential level in a long time, it was decided by fewer than 45,000 votes in 2016, and by fewer than 100,000 votes in 2004,” Jon McHenry, Republican polling analyst and vice president at North Star Opinion Research, told the Daily Caller. “It’s certainly in play this time around.”
Minnesota was won by Biden in 2020 by a 7.2% margin, and won in 2016 against failed Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by a 1.5% margin, the closest election in the state since 1984’s presidential election, where Walter Mondale beat Ronald Reagan in the state, by just .18%, and in which Minnesota was the only state in the union to vote blue.
Former President Barack Obama also won Minnesota in both 2012 and 2008, with a 7.7% and 10.2% margin, respectively.
“The reason Donald Trump can run so close in Minnesota is the general level of dissatisfaction with Joe Biden’s presidency, especially in his handling of the economy and illegal immigration,” McHenry told the Caller. “Unless voters change their minds about the economy, states that narrowly voted for President Biden in 2020 are going to flip, and states that gave him a more solid margin like Minnesota are going to be very close.”
While other polls indicate leads for Biden in Minnesota, those leads are rapidly shrinking. A June Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy poll indicated that Biden was only leading Trump by 4 points, and a May poll from KSTP/SurveyUSA indicated a lead for Biden of just 2 points.
Trump currently holds leads in all major swing states, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average. The former president leads in Arizona by 4.6 points, Nevada by 5.7 points, North Carolina by 5.3 points, Georgia by 5 points, Pennsylvania by 2.3 points, Wisconsin by 0.3 points, and Michigan by 0.2 points.
When factoring in independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and independent candidate Cornel West, Trump’s numbers improve in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia, according to RCP averages.
Additionally, a Roanoke College Poll released in May shows that Trump and Biden are tied in Virginia, which has not voted Republican since the 2004 election for George W. Bush.
“In the swing states we’ve polled, majorities of voters say they were better off financially under Donald Trump, so the Trump campaign is probably three-quarters of the way there,” McHenry told the Caller.
The post Trump Tied With Biden In Minnesota, A State Which Hasn’t Voted Republican In Over 50 Years appeared first on Resist the Mainstream.
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Author: John Symank
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