The issue of Census Exclusions is becoming a central factor in America’s political future. As population shifts strengthen red states and weaken blue states, Democrats may face devastating consequences in Congress and the Electoral College by 2032.
Even without a new census that excludes illegal aliens from population totals (which currently boost representation for blue states in both the House of Representatives and the Electoral College), the steady exodus of citizens from blue states to red states is projected to give Republicans a decisive advantage.
According to The New York Times, Florida and Texas are projected to gain a combined five congressional seats, while Utah and Idaho are each expected to add one. These gains come directly at the expense of California and New York.
But this projection doesn’t even include Texas’s recent redistricting plan, which could add as many as five new Republican seats under the current alignment.
Electoral College Impact of Census Exclusions
When it comes to the Electoral College, Census Exclusions only intensify Democrats’ problems. If illegal aliens are removed from the population counts, Republicans will benefit further from red-state growth while blue states lose influence.
Current projections show that Democrats would lose about a third of their current winning Electoral College combinations by 2032. Worse still, of the 25 most plausible Democratic paths to victory based on 2024 voting behavior, only five would remain viable.
Illegal Aliens and Census Exclusions
Depending on estimates, illegal aliens account for between 3% and 10% of the U.S. population. If Donald Trump or another Republican president succeeds in implementing Census Exclusions, Democrats’ representation would shrink dramatically while Republicans gain.
Combined with aggressive redistricting efforts—especially in states like Texas—this demographic shift could cement GOP advantages for a generation.
Conclusion
The fight over Census Exclusions is not just about numbers. It is about the future balance of power in America. With red states growing and blue states losing ground, Democrats may find themselves with far fewer paths to victory by 2032.
DailyClout.io will continue to cover this story.
https://apnews.com/article/0d3c8e8d34cbfc87412a21796dddbd38?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/08/20/congressional-redistricting-states-midterms/
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-redistricting-push-could-bring-decades-republican-rule-us-house-2025-08-24/
https://www.vox.com/the-logoff-newsletter-trump/458832/texas-redistricting-gerrymander-five-seats-trump-house
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Author: Sean Probber
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