Democrats May Find It Almost Impossible to Win Future Presidential Elections

As John Winger (Bill Murray) memorably said in Stripes, “And then depression set in.”

Talk about a one-two punch from the Democrats favorite newspaper, the New York Times. 

First, last week, the Times wrote a story with the subhead “The party is bleeding support beyond the ballot box, a new analysis shows”.

Its lead is

Few measurements reflect the luster of a political party’s brand more clearly than the choice by voters to identify with it — whether they register on a clipboard in a supermarket parking lot, at the Department of Motor Vehicles or in the comfort of their own home.

And fewer and fewer Americans are choosing to be Democrats.

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In fact, for the first time since 2018, more new voters nationwide chose to be Republicans than Democrats last year. …

Jeffrey Blehar of National Review Online added

This is not a matter of “a pox on both houses.” Nor is it just a matter of college-age progressives leaving the Democratic Party out of disappointment at their lack of revolutionary conviction. Young first-time voters are now registering as Republicans in numbers that utterly shock me as a Generation X veteran of MTV “rocking the vote” for Bill Clinton and Barack Obama.

Even more devastatingly, the article notes that a staggering number of older Democratic voters in key swing states such as Pennsylvania and Nevada are reregistering as Republicans in a way not seen since . . . well, ever. 

Then, today, “How the Electoral College Could Tilt Further From Democrats”. Here’s its lead:

The year is 2032. Studying the Electoral College map, a Democratic presidential candidate can no longer plan to sweep New Hampshire, Minnesota and the “blue wall” battlegrounds of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and win the White House. A victory in the swing state of Nevada would not help, either.

That is the nightmare scenario many Democratic Party insiders see playing out if current U.S. population projections hold.

You ask yourself if the Times wasn’t exaggerating for effect—to jolt Democrats, their abortion comrade-in-arms, into taking aggressive steps? Well, if bad news is a motivator, there certainly is plenty of that—for Democrats and the Times.

* In the next decade, the Electoral College will tilt significantly away from Democrats.

Deeply conservative Texas and Florida could gain a total of five congressional seats, and the red states of Utah and Idaho are each expected to add a seat. Those gains will come at the expense of major Democratic states like New York and California, according to a New York Times analysis of population projections by Esri, a nonpartisan company whose mapping software and demographic data are widely used by businesses and governments across the world.

Then there’s

* Across all of the possible scenarios in the nine states that would be considered battlegrounds in the 2032 election, Democrats would see about a third of their current winning Electoral College combinations disappear if population projections hold. However, when looking only at the most feasible winning combinations based on voting behaviors in the 2024 election, the outlook is far worse. Of Democrats’ 25 most plausible paths to victory in 2024, only five would remain.

Some groups have arrived at an even more challenging outlook for Democrats in 2032. For example, the Brennan Center for Justice, a nonpartisan organization, projected Republicans to have three more safe seats from Texas and Florida, and New York to lose one more seat than The Times’s projection.

You get the point, so I’ll had just one more data point (of many) from the story written by Nick Corasaniti, Jeff Adelson, Irineo Cabreros, and Charlie Smart:

* These projections are not a guarantee of things to come, and could still change significantly. Natural disasters, economic upheaval and other factors could alter the country’s population patterns. Political realignment among demographic groups, such as Republicans’ gaining with Latino voters, could further scramble the landscape.

But some of the population shifts that will influence the reallocation of congressional seats have already taken place. State populations have changed enough since 2020 that if the redistribution of congressional seats occurred this year, red states would gain five seats. Blue states would lose five.

Should the projections hold, one hope for Democrats is to do what seems, at least after the 2024 election, impossible: pivot to the South. That would mean turning states like Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas and Louisiana — all places Mr. Trump won by more than 20 percentage points — into competitive battlegrounds, and quickly.

Democrats, wedded to the Abortion Industry, are in a heap of trouble. Internal divisions along ideology and age lines are immediate threats with Socialists posed to win in New York City and Minneapolis.

As one Democrat we quoted last week said

“It’s going to get worse before it gets better.”

LifeNews.com Note: Dave Andrusko is the editor of National Right to Life News and an author and editor of several books on abortion topics. He frequently writes Today’s News and Views — an online opinion column on pro-life issues.

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