BUT, BUT, BUT TARIFFS

Damn. Missed by that much.

Tariff revenue “surged” by $21 billion in July. Too bad the deficit “exploded” at a 14 times higher rate. Trump and his co-conspirators in congress sure have that spending under control. With two months to go in the fiscal year, they still have a decent chance of reaching the glorious $2 trillion deficit level. That ain’t an easy task, but if anyone can do it, Trump can. Fingers crossed.

US deficit grows to $291 billion in July despite tariff revenue surge

Aug 12 (Reuters) – The U.S. government’s budget deficit grew nearly 20% in July to $291 billion despite a nearly $21 billion jump in customs duty collections from President Donald Trump’s tariffs, with outlays growing faster than receipts, the Treasury Department said on Tuesday.
The deficit for July was up 19%, or $47 billion, from July 2024. Receipts for the month grew 2%, or $8 billion, to $338 billion, while outlays jumped 10%, or $56 billion, to $630 billion, a record high for the month.

The month of July this year had fewer business days than last year, so the Treasury Department said that adjusting for the difference would have increased receipts by about $20 billion, resulting in a deficit of about $271 billion.

Net customs receipts in July grew to about $27.7 billion from about $7.1 billion in the year-earlier period due to higher tariff rates imposed by Trump, a Treasury official said. These collections were largely in line with the increase in June customs receipts after steady growth since April.
Trump has touted the billions of dollars flowing into U.S. coffers from his tariffs, but the duties are paid by companies importing the goods, with some costs often passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices.

Consumer price index data on Tuesday showed increases in prices for some tariff-sensitive goods like furniture, footwear and auto parts, but they were offset by lower gasoline prices in the overall index.

For the first 10 months of the fiscal year, customs duties totaled $135.7 billion, up $73 billion, or 116%, from the year-earlier period.

The overall year-to-date budget results showed a $1.629 trillion deficit, up 7%, or $112 billion, from the same period a year earlier. Receipts were up 6%, or $262 billion, to $4.347 trillion, a record high for the 10-month period, while outlays grew 7%, or $374 billion, to $5.975 trillion, also a 10-month record.