Political analyst says AOC has a better chance of winning the White House than Kamala Harris

Some have recently suggested that former Vice President Kamala Harris could once again seek to become her party’s presidential nominee.

However, newly released polling data indicates that New York Democratic Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has a better shot at winning the White House. 

Polls show AOC on an upward trajectory as Harris slides

This fact was highlighted earlier this week in a Fox News op-ed piece written by author and longtime political analyst Doug Schoen.

Schoen pointed to a polling aggregator maintained by Race to the White House which ranks the prospects of potential 2028 candidates.

It currently shows Ocasio-Cortez as being supported by 11.9% of Democratic primary voters, putting her in fourth place behind Harris, former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, and California Gov. Gavin Newsom.

Nevertheless, support for Harris has been on the decline, dropping from 34.8% in January to 21.1% at present. By contrast, Ocasio-Cortez has seen her support grow from just 2.9% at the beginning of this year.

What’s more, some individual polls have Ocasio-Cortez ahead of the former vice president, with an AtlasIntel survey carried out last month showing her being backed by 19% of Democrats while Harris was supported by just 14%.

Congressman has strong fundraising numbers and crowd appeal

“Behind Ocasio-Cortez’s strong polling numbers are her dominant fundraising and convening abilities, especially her ability to generate enthusiasm,” Schoen wrote.

“Recently, the Wall Street Journal reported that AOC raised more than $15 million in 2025 – almost double Speaker Mike Johnson, with 99% coming from small dollar donors,” he stressed.

As evidence of this, Schoen pointed to the series of heavily attended rallies which Ocasio-Cortez has headlined alongside Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.

AOC’s radicalism may help among primary voters

Finally, Schoen argued that Ocasio-Cortez’s penchant for taking radical positions may be of benefit since Democratic primary voters tend “to be dominated by the left.”

DOUG SCHOEN: Why AOC could take the White House in 2028 and Kamala Harris won’t https://t.co/YOy8vrp8R8

— Fox News Opinion (@FoxNewsOpinion) August 4, 2025

“Not to mention that a considerable number of moderate Democrats will likely rally around the eventual nominee, regardless of who wins,” he pointed out.

Schoen further recalled how “Harris struggled with voters both on the left and in the middle and has shown no reason to believe a 2028 run would address those problems.”

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