With the way things are going right now for the Trump administration, we actually have a real shot at keeping the presidency in 2028. The key will be to see how the GOP does during the 2026 cycle.
If there is still momentum from this administration, it is only natural that high-profile administration officials would be favored to win the nod, and that would include Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
GOP polling
Right now, there is a clear favorite for the nod in the Republican Party, that being Vice President J.D. Vance.
Vance is ahead of the field for the GOP primary, and it is not even close.
Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL), for now, is a complete afterthought, and I have repeatedly stated that if I were him, I would be focused on 2032 and beyond.
The way I see it, if the administration is deemed a success, Vance gets the easy nod. But if it is unsuccessful, why waste the attempt when you would have virtually no hope of winning, as the country will be looking for a change?
Shake It Off
Rubio was among the top candidates in the 2016 race, but he has since deferred to Trump.
He is very realistic about his chances if the Trump administration is successful.
When asked about running, he stunned the media by actually touting Vance, stating, “I think JD Vance would be a great nominee if he decides he wants to do that.”
I believe that if Vance runs and wins, he would likely bring Rubio along for the ride. I doubt he would be vice president, as I see Vance picking his buddy Vivek Ramaswamy, which would put me in a very bad spot because I cannot support a ticket that includes him (as I have made clear from the time Ramaswamy ran for president).
Democrat leaders
Currently, Harris is still in the lead, but she is losing ground rather quickly.
Harris, at one point, has completely lapped the field, but she now has a handful of candidates on her heels, with Pete Buttigieg being the shocking second, followed by Gavin Newsom and AOC.
Harris is sitting at 21.1%, Buttigieg is at 17.4%, Newsom is sitting at 12.7%, and AOC, who I do not believe we even be in the race, is running at 11.9%. The rest of the field is at 5% or less.
If Harris maintains her lead, I still don’t see how she can win, but if she does, I think she would be a one-term president. The candidate that I see as the biggest threat is not even on the board yet, that being Rep. Ro Khanna of California.
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Author: Jerry McConway
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