France’s Great Replacement: One in Four Babies Now Born With Arab-Muslim First Names

France is changing, not slowly, not marginally, but demographically and irreversibly. According to the 10th annual Arab-Muslim First Name Barometer, published by Fdesouche using civil registry data from France’s national statistics bureau (INSEE), more than one in four children born in France in 2024 received an Arab-Muslim first name.

In the 1960s, Arab-Muslim names were virtually absent from national birth records — under 1% of newborns. In the 1980s, they were still limited to isolated immigrant communities. Today, they make up more than 25%. That’s a demographic increase of over 2,400% in two generations — an unprecedented civilizational shift in modern French history.

This information is based on official government birth data, analyzed using rigorous linguistic and cultural markers. The findings are unmistakable: in a single generation, France has undergone a seismic shift in its population makeup, one that is transforming the very foundations of the French nation.

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Key Findings:

• In 2024, 25.1% of all newborns in France were given first names classified as either “strict Muslim” or “Islam-compatible.”
• These include names such as Mohammed, Fatima, Ismaël, Aïcha, Rayan, Naïma, Ibrahim, and Youssef — names that are either uniquely tied to Islam or overwhelmingly used within Muslim communities.
• The data represents a 0.5% increase from 2023, continuing a steady upward trend that has persisted for more than a decade.
• Meanwhile, births to non-Muslim French families are declining sharply, both in raw numbers and as a percentage of the population.

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France’s Cultural Map Has Been Redrawn

The report includes department-level maps comparing the rate of Muslim first names between 1994 and 2024 — a single generation. The result is staggering:

• In 1994, only pockets of France, largely urban areas, showed notable concentrations of Muslim names.
• In 2024, entire regions now register rates approaching or exceeding 40%, 50%, and in some departments, over 60%.
• Cities like Seine-Saint-Denis, Marseille, Lyon, and Toulouse show near-majority or majority levels of Arab-Muslim naming.

In Seine-Saint-Denis, for example, Muslim first names accounted for over 65% of births in 2024. In parts of Marseille and Roubaix, the numbers now exceed 50% — effectively making the ethnic French population a minority in the maternity wards of their own cities.

Fdesouche’s side-by-side maps of 1994 vs. 2024 expose the demographic inversion in shocking detail. Entire departments have flipped culturally in a single generation. View the full map here.

This is not a story of “diversity.” It is a story of demographic inversion.

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The Decline of Native French Births

What makes these numbers more alarming is what’s not growing: the number of babies born to ethnic French, Christian, or secular families is collapsing.

• Muslim-background families have higher fertility rates, younger age structures, and often stronger community cohesion.
• Native French families, by contrast, are having fewer children, later in life — if at all.
• The combination of mass migration and demographic replacement means the founding population is being rapidly outpaced — and increasingly marginalized in its own country.

If current trends continue, Muslim first names could represent one in three births by the early 2030s, and potentially a majority before 2050 — not due to immigration alone, but due to sustained differential birthrates and state policy failures.

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How the Study Was Conducted

Because France prohibits the collection of ethnic and religious demographic data, the study relies on an analysis of first names recorded in INSEE’s official birth registry. Researchers classified over 9,000 names based on frequency of use in Muslim communities worldwide.

• “Strict Muslim names” are those almost exclusively found in Muslim families (e.g., Mohammed, Aïcha).
• “Islam-compatible names” are those primarily used by Muslims, but occasionally found in other communities (e.g., Adam, Inès).
• The final percentage figure only includes 50% of the “Islam-compatible” names, to avoid inflating the results.

In other words: the 25% figure is conservative. The actual share of Muslim-born children in France may be even higher.

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What This Means for France

This data doesn’t just reflect names. It reflects a civilizational realignment, one that has enormous consequences for national identity, political stability, religious freedom, and social cohesion.

The rise in Arab-Muslim naming mirrors a broader pattern:

• Mosques are rising across France, while churches close by the hundreds.
• Islamic dress codes, food requirements, and religious accommodations are reshaping public institutions.
• Political activism and bloc voting among Muslim communities are increasingly driving local elections and public policy.

And yet, mainstream politicians and media remain silent, clinging to the illusion that “diversity” will somehow blend into a seamless French identity.

French elites — in government, media, and academia — are not just ignoring these changes. Many are actively suppressing the conversation, branding any critique as “racism” while the country’s founding identity disappears in real time.

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A Nation at a Crossroads

France has long held to the notion of laïcité — a secular republic, indivisible, rooted in shared civic values. But the demographic shift revealed in this barometer shows a parallel nation emerging within its borders: one increasingly defined by Islamic culture, loyalty, and worldview.

If naming patterns are a predictor of cultural continuity, and history tells us they are, then France is heading toward a future where the majority of children will no longer be culturally French, but culturally Islamic.

That is not diversity. That is replacement.

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Will France Wake Up?

These are not just numbers. They are warnings. They are the early tremors of a future where France no longer resembles the civilization it once was.

Without bold action, on immigration, integration, and national renewal, the France of Victor Hugo, Charles de Gaulle, and Joan of Arc may not survive this century.

The real question is no longer if France is being replaced — it’s how fast, and whether anyone in power has the courage to stop it.

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