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More Details on NXP’s Q2
NXPI | NXP Semiconductors Q2’25 Earnings Highlights:
- Adj. EPS: $2.72
- Revenue: $2.93B
- Adj. Gross Margin: 56.5%; DOWN -210 bps YoY
- Net Income: $690M; DOWN -17% YoY
Q2’25 Outlook:
- Revenue: $3.05 billion to $3.25 billion
- Guidance reflects an emerging cyclical improvement in core end markets and company-specific growth drivers.
- Focus on solid profitability and earnings through portfolio strengthening and manufacturing strategy alignment.
Q2 Segment Performance:
- Automotive Revenue: $1.73B ; FLAT YoY
- Industrial & IoT Revenue: $546M
; DOWN -11% YoY
- Mobile Revenue: $331M
; DOWN -4% YoY
- Comm. Infra. & Other Revenue: $320M
; DOWN -27% YoY
Other Key Q2 Metrics:
- Adj. Operating Income: $935M; DOWN -13% YoY
- Adj. Operating Expenses: $505M ; DOWN -5% YoY
- R&D Expenses: $573M ; DOWN -4% YoY
- Free Cash Flow: $696M ; UP +21% YoY
- Effective Tax Rate: 18.3% (vs. N/A YoY)
CEO Commentary:
- Kurt Sievers: “NXP delivered solid revenue above guidance, focusing on profitability and growth drivers.”
Strategic Updates:
- NXP announced new imaging processors for Autonomous Driving and completed the acquisition of TTTech Auto.
- Collaboration with Rimac Technology for advanced automotive domain control.
Nothing Funky Under the Hood
We’ve been examining some of the industry-specific metrics like channel inventory and DSO, and there’s nothing obvious that looks out of sorts.
We continue to be surprised by the -5% reaction to the stock. These earnings weren’t outstanding, but they were good enough that a drop of this level doesn’t seem warranted.
Shares have rebounded slightly after trading down 6% after hours. As of 4:50 p.m. ET, they’re now trading down about 4.5%.
Its a Double Beat, So Why is NXP Down?
NXP Semiconductor beat earnings last quarter and issued guidance above expectations next quarter. So, why is the company’s stock down?
That’s the question we’re looking into right now.
The company has been broadly disappointing for investors. Shares are down 20% across the past year while AI takes off and the company – while beating expectations – still did just post a quarter with -6% revenue growth.
NXP sees 57% of revenue from the automotive end market. That’s the single market Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE: TSM) called out as not growing in their recent conference call.
So, semiconductors do have powerful tailwinds, but NXP is in the worst segment of the industry right now. We’ll continue reviewing the earnings to look for more details into what disappointed Wall Street.
Turning to Guidance
NXP’s guidance appears to be slightly above expectations for Q3.
The company issued an EPS range of $2.22 to $2.62, which is slightly above expectations of $2.42.
Revenue of $3.05 billion to $3.25 billion is above expectations of $3.08 billion at the midpoint.
The Numbers
- Revenue is down 6% from last year
- Adjusted EPS down 15%
- GAAP Net Income down 32%
Revenue of $2.93 billion is either inline or a slight beat depending on what consensus estimates you’re using (our data provider had the company at $2.86 billion in estimates).
EPS of $2.72 adjusted is also a beat.
Earnings Are Out
We’ll get to more details in a moment but earnings are out and the immediate reaction is the stock is trading down 6%.
Markets closed, earnings coming shortly
NXP Semiconductors earnings will be live momentarily and trading is closed for the day, up 1.05%, ending at $228.27 per share. Stay tuned for earnings analysis and news.
Past Quarters Stock Performance
Here is a look at recent quarterly EPS surprises for NXPI and how the stock performance up to 14 days post release:
Quarter
|
EPS Surprise
|
1-Day Move
|
7-Day Move
|
14-Day Move
|
---|---|---|---|---|
Q2 2024
|
+0.00%
|
-3.01%
|
-7.12%
|
-8.44%
|
Q3 2024
|
+0.58%
|
+3.00%
|
-0.31%
|
+4.10%
|
Q4 2024
|
+1.27%
|
+5.36%
|
+8.49%
|
+12.92%
|
Q1 2025
|
+1.54%
|
+0.93%
|
+3.26%
|
+15.19%
|
NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ: NXPI) reports 2nd quarter earnings shortly after the market closes and we’ll be proving live earnings analysis in this live article. Simply leave this page open and new updates will push out when earnings hit the wire.
What to Expect When NXP Semiconductors Reports Tonight
Here’s the key figures that Wall Street expects from NXP Semiconductors tonight (based on consensus estimates for FQ2 2025):
- Revenue: $2,855.05 million
- EPS (Normalized): $2.63
And full-year estimates are currently set at:
- 2025 Revenue: $11,900.41 million
- 2025 EPS (Normalized): $11.68
- 2026 Revenue: $13,178.23 million
- 2026 EPS (Normalized): $14.22
Key Themes Wall Street Will Be Watching
Of course, beyond the headline revenue and EPS figures, Wall Street will be watching:
- Impact of Tariffs and Macro Uncertainty: In the Q1 2025 earnings call, management highlighted operating in an uncertain environment influenced by tariffs, with volatile direct and indirect effects. The direct impact was immaterial, but indirect effects on demand and supply chains remain unknown. Analysts will look for updates on any order pull-ins, push-outs, or broader macro influences, especially given no abnormal customer behavior observed so far.
- Segment Performance and Recovery Signals: Q1 results showed automotive slightly below expectations, with Q2 guidance for automotive flat year-on-year and up low single-digit sequentially. Industrial and IoT was down mid-teens year-on-year but up mid-single-digit sequentially. Positive trends like improving distribution backlog, stabilized direct customer orders, and short-cycle orders/escalations were noted as early signs of cycle improvement. Watch for confirmation of these “green shoots” and progress on inventory digestion (channel at 9 weeks, below 11-week target).
- Acquisitions and Strategic Updates: The announced acquisition of Kinara ($307 million) for AI edge compute, along with Aviva and TTTech Auto, aims to enhance differentiation in industrial/IoT and automotive (e.g., software-defined vehicles). Expected to close by end of Q2, with no material financial impact until accretive by 2028. Analysts will seek details on integration, customer engagements in factory automation, healthcare, and smart home, plus updates on China-for-China strategy (e.g., 30%+ wafer manufacturing in China) and CEO transition (Kurt Sievers retiring end-2025, Rafael taking over).
The post Live Coverage: NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Earnings News and Analysis appeared first on 24/7 Wall St..
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Author: Joel South
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