Though the country is only six months into President Donald Trump’s second term in office, eyes are already turning to what is to come in 2028 and pondering who will become the GOP’s next standard-bearer.
As the Daily Caller reports, well-known betting platform Polymarket has also set its focus on the 2028 presidential stakes, and when it comes to the odds as they currently stand, Vice President JD Vance appears to be in the driver’s seat.
Polymarket wades in
The powers that be at Polymarket describe the website as the largest prediction market in the world, and on it, users have the ability to “buy and sell shares representing future event outcomes.”
Considering the rampant speculation that precedes any national election, it is no surprise that those behind the Polymarket platform are ready and willing to give the presidential contest some significant attention.
In its latest iteration, the presidential tracking on the site shows Vance leading all contenders, pulling 27% support without selecting for party affiliation.
A distant second is California Gov. Gavin Newsom, who drew 17%, with third-place contender Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez coming in with 10%.
In a blow to the Democratic Party’s 2024 nominee, former Vice President Kamala Harris ranked fourth, bringing in just 9%, which is the same level of support garnered by Trump, who is constitutionally ineligible to run for another term.
VP on the rise
When separated by party, Vance drew a whopping 56% of Republican support, with second-place Marco Rubio, the current secretary of State, coming in with just 6%.
As Newsweek recently reported, Vance’s popularity also came shining through in the form of an Emerson College poll of potential 2028 GOP presidential candidates.
In that survey, Vance drew 46% support from likely Republican primary voters, with Rubio coming in at a comparatively paltry 12%.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis drew just 9%, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. pulled 5%, while Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley each garnered 2%.
Individuals attracting 1%, respectively, were Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, former GOP presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, and Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin, though 17% of respondents declared themselves “undecided.”
The road ahead
While Vance may be riding high at present, one political observer suggested to Newsweek that his future fortunes are “tied to the success of Trump’s second term, and if that fails to deliver, JD’s star will wane.”
Given the track record of wins that Trump is already amassing in areas ranging from immigration enforcement, education reform, and foreign policy, it seems that Vance, should he wish to assume the mantle in 2028, has good cause for optimism.
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Author: Sarah May
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