President Donald Trump’s bold move to take out Iran’s nuclear arms program and broker a ceasefire between Iran and Israel seems to have worked, at least so far. But while a large share of Americans believe the ceasefire won’t hold, the majority are taking a wait-and-see approach, the latest I&I/TIPP Poll indicates.
The online national I&I/TIPP Poll of 1,421 adults was taken from June 25-27, mere days after the June 22 U.S. military attack to cripple Iran’s nuclear facilities.
I&I/TIPP asked respondents the following question: “Do you believe the recent ceasefire between Israel and Iran will lead to lasting peace in the region?”
Among those taking the poll, the history of the Mideast, with repeated wars between Israel and its neighbors, weighed heavily: 43% said “No, fighting is likely to resume,” versus just 19% who said “Yes, the ceasefire is likely to hold.”
But the big winner wasn’t yay or nay, but rather “wait and see.” Because of the 57% who didn’t say “no,” in addition to the 19% answering “yes,” another 28% said it was “Too soon to tell,” while 10% answered “Not sure.” So, in short, a majority think it’s either a success or too early to know.
So, as has always been the case, in the Mideast uncertainty reigns and trouble always seems to loom on the horizon. And while the picture in the U.S. is further clouded by the usual partisan differences, that’s not really the case this time.
Democrats (14%), Republicans (29%) and independents (12%) are all underwhelmed by the prospects of a lasting peace between Israel and Iran. Pessimism reigns, with Democrats (51%), Republicans (34%) and independents (47%) all seeing it as more probable that war between those countries and possibly others will resume rather than end.
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Author: Ruth King
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