G7, Trump and NATO’s Delusion

The G7 summit in Canada and the NATO meeting in The Hague on June 24-25, 2025, laid bare a West in disarray, chasing unattainable goals in a world that has outgrown its dominance. Swiss military expert Jacques Baud, in an interview with Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen, further exposed critical vulnerabilities in the U.S. military and economic systems, underscoring the West’s precarious position. Together, these events and analyses paint a damning picture of a Western alliance teetering on the brink of irrelevance, burdened by overambition, internal divisions, and systemic weaknesses.

The G7’s Collapse in Alberta

The G7 summit in Alberta was intended to project unity, geopolitical resolve, and a cohesive stance against Russia, China, and the Global South. Instead, it became a stark display of Western disunity and strategic paralysis. U.S. President Donald Trump’s abrupt departure—officially unexplained but rumored to prioritize Middle Eastern affairs—left other leaders isolated and directionless. The failure to produce a joint communiqué, driven by irreconcilable differences over Russia and Ukraine policies, underscored the G7’s inability to function as a unified bloc. Far from projecting strength, the summit revealed a West struggling to define its role in a rapidly shifting global order.

Ukrainian President Zelensky’s visit to Canada, seeking $40 billion in annual funding from Trump, became a poignant symbol of Western abandonment. Trump’s refusal to meet Zelensky, who left empty-handed, highlighted a lack of commitment to Ukraine’s cause. As the Atlantic Council noted, the significance lies in what didn’t occur: Trump not only sidestepped the meeting but also avoided leveraging the G7 to pressure Russia. Shockingly, he reportedly suggested reinviting Russia to the G7, signaling a retreat from the confrontational rhetoric that has long defined Western policy. This move exposed the G7’s inability to sustain its moral and strategic posturing, rendering its ambitions hollow and its influence diminished.

NATO’s Empty Summit in The Hague

The NATO meeting in The Hague was an even clearer indictment of the alliance’s fading ambitions. Reduced to a two-hour plenary session and a symbolic gesture, the summit produced a final document stripped of substance. References to Ukraine’s accession and explicit criticism of Russia were omitted, replaced by a vague pledge to increase defense spending to 3.5% of GDP—a target many members are unlikely to meet given economic constraints and political divisions. The Atlantic Council warned against pushing Ukraine’s cause, cautioning that it could expose NATO’s fragility, particularly with Trump resisting pressure from his own security apparatus. This retreat from bold commitments revealed NATO’s goals—global leadership, Ukrainian integration, and unified resolve—as increasingly unattainable, rooted in a delusion of enduring supremacy.

The summit’s minimalism reflected a deeper crisis: NATO is struggling to reconcile its expansive vision with its limited resources. Internal rifts are evident. Northern European nations like Denmark and Norway push for higher defense budgets, while Southern European countries like Italy and Spain resist, citing economic pressures. Meanwhile, Ukraine’s future has been quietly shelved, reflecting a lack of consensus on confronting Russia. NATO’s insistence on shaping global order through military commitments and moral posturing ignores its dwindling economic and strategic clout. The alliance’s summits have become little more than symbolic theater, masking its inability to deliver on lofty promises like Ukrainian membership or a unified front against global rivals.

Economic Fragility Undermines Western Ambitions

The West’s economic vulnerabilities further erode its geopolitical standing. Demand for U.S. Treasury bonds is declining, while gold prices have reached historic highs, signaling a loss of confidence in Western financial systems. The euro, once envisioned as a symbol of European assertiveness, is losing global relevance as countries like China, India, and the Gulf monarchies pivot to tangible assets like gold and commodities. This economic shift undermines NATO and the G7’s ability to project power, as their ambitious goals require financial and industrial resources they no longer command. Rising inflation, strained public budgets, and growing debt levels in Western nations further limit their ability to fund military expansion or foreign aid commitments.

Jacques Baud’s analysis provides a sobering perspective on these vulnerabilities, particularly within the U.S. military-industrial complex. A former Swiss intelligence officer and security advisor, Baud revealed that the American arms industry is critically dependent on Chinese raw material supplies, particularly rare earths essential for producing advanced weaponry like the “Arrow” missile system. Beijing’s decision to halt these exports has left the U.S. unable to meet Israel’s weapons demands, exposing a structural weakness that undercuts Western military dominance. “The U.S. is unable to produce the necessary weapons for Israel,” Baud stated, emphasizing how this dependency limits America’s ability to project power and support its allies effectively.

Baud’s critique extends to the U.S. economy’s precarious foundation: its massive debt. “If you write off all this debt, you’ll see the U.S. collapse economically within days,” he warned. While he acknowledged that China, as America’s largest creditor, would suffer in such a scenario, the statement highlights the fragility of the U.S.-led Western order. This economic vulnerability, combined with military dependence on adversarial nations, reveals a West ill-equipped to sustain its global ambitions. Baud advocates for diplomatic isolation and economic pressure to force the U.S. and its allies to recognize their limits, arguing that they must accept they are no longer the world’s unchallenged rulers.

A Multipolar Reality

The G7 and NATO summits, coupled with Baud’s analysis, expose a West in denial about its declining influence. The multipolar world is no longer a theoretical concept but a tangible reality, taking shape through platforms like the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF), BRICS+, and diplomatic coalitions in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. These forums are redefining global power dynamics, with nations like China and India leveraging their economic and resource advantages to challenge Western dominance. Meanwhile, the West clings to outdated notions of supremacy, unable to adapt to a world where power is distributed across multiple centers.

NATO’s goals—global leadership, Ukrainian membership, and unified resolve—are not just unattainable but increasingly irrelevant. The alliance’s internal divisions, economic constraints, and reliance on adversaries for critical resources undermine its credibility. Baud’s revelations about U.S. vulnerabilities—its dependence on Chinese raw materials and precarious debt—amplify this crisis, exposing a West that cannot sustain its ambitions. The G7 and NATO’s reliance on symbolic gestures, like watered-down communiqués and brief summits, cannot mask their strategic incoherence or inability to deliver on promises.

The G7 and NATO summits were not mere failures—they were indictments of a Western alliance chasing a mirage of global dominance. NATO’s unattainable goals, rooted in a unipolar fantasy, are crumbling under the weight of economic fragility, military overreach, and internal discord. Baud’s analysis of U.S. vulnerabilities—its reliance on Chinese raw materials and teetering debt—underscores the West’s precarious position. As the multipolar world takes shape, the West faces a stark choice: adapt to a reality where it no longer commands the global stage or risk obsolescence. Clinging to symbolic summits and outdated visions, NATO and the G7 are being overtaken by a world that no longer bends to their will.

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