Report: Trump’s 2024 win even more decisive than previously believed

A new report is showing just how dominant President Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential election actually was.

The report, which has just been released, comes from the Pew Research Center.

The report can be read in its entirety here.

Trump’s 2024 voter coalition was more racially and ethnically diverse than his 2020 or 2016 coalitions. pic.twitter.com/zClpZYJKCA

— Pew Research Center (@pewresearch) June 26, 2025

“Racially and ethnically diverse coalition”

To the surprise of some, Trump’s victory was, in part, the result of what Pew Research calls “a racially and ethnically diverse coalition.”

The center reports:

Among Hispanic voters, Trump battled to near parity in 2024 (51% Harris, 48% Trump) after losing to Joe Biden 61%-36% in 2020. Trump won 15% of Black voters – up from 8% four years earlier. Trump also did better among Asian voters. While a majority of Asian voters (57%) backed Harris, 40% supported Trump. This was a narrower margin than Biden’s in 2020 (70% to 30%).

The center claims that “these shifts were largely the result of differences in which voters turned out in the 2020 and 2024 elections.”

This is a bit of an ambiguous statement, but the Center goes on to explain:

As in the past, a relatively small share of voters switched which party’s candidate they supported. In 2024, Trump benefited from higher turnout among those who voted for him in 2020. He also held an edge over Harris among voters who did not vote four years earlier – a group that was considerably more diverse than those who voted in both elections. And while Trump improved his performance among several groups in 2024, many of the demographic patterns in voting preferences that have dominated American politics for the last several decades remained evident last November.

This, however, may not be the harshest finding for Harris.

There’s more…

In addition to the fact that Trump was elected by “a racially and ethnically diverse coalition,” Pew Research also found that — in stark contrast to the narrative that has been pushed by the Democrats — former Vice President Kamala Harris lost precisely because people turned up to vote, not because they stayed home.

In other words, Pew Research actually found that, had more people showed up to vote — had there been a higher voter turnout — Harris would have done even worse in the election than she actually did.

The report states:

When asked how they would have voted, people eligible to vote who did not do so were fairly evenly split in their preferences: 44% say they would have supported Trump, while 40% say they would have backed Harris

This is another difference from the 2020 election, when nonvoters, according to Pew, said that they would have favored then-President Joe Biden.

At the end of the day, the Pew Research report simply reiterates what Trump and many others — on both sides of the aisle — have been saying for months now, namely, that Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential election was a dominant one.