What will China Do Post-Iran? As Iran reels and Russia weakens, China watches and endures—its challenge to the US is deeper, longer-term, and unlike any adversary of the past century. By Francesco Sisci

https://amgreatness.com/2025/06/25/what-will-china-do-post-iran/

Iran may be unraveling under the massive Israeli attack on its nuclear facilities and command centers. It’s uncertain whether the ayatollahs will survive the humiliation or how they will spin the narrative about the loss of their strategic atomic program.

With that, Russia, entangled in a war in Ukraine that it doesn’t seem able to win, will feel the pressure. Iran has been an essential supplier of military goods and a significant political partner in the complex diplomatic game surrounding the fight.

China, the third pole of this hazy coalition, has now kept its distance from Iran. Unlike with Ukraine or Gaza—where it rushed to pledge support for causes that proved to be lost (Moscow’s invasion or Hamas’s attack)—this time Beijing remained mostly silent, issuing a few bland statements about peace.

Beijing appears to be rethinking its foreign policy and shifting its stance.

This is a new kind of domino effect—unlike the Cold War—because China is fundamentally different from the USSR.

In Iran, the Shia-led regime established in the 1980s stands at odds with the enduring cultural legacy of Persia.

Despite all their efforts, the ruling clerics haven’t managed to wipe out the Persian legacy, which may be stronger than ever. If the ayatollahs were to fall, ancient Persia could reemerge from a very shallow underground.

In Russia, generals and oligarchs can survive. Russia might be better off without Vladimir Putin. If Putin were to fall, Russia could quite easily endure. This isn’t about a U.S.-controlled “regime change.” It’s about a natural historical evolution, without any need for direct U.S. meddling.