In 628 AD between the Qurayshi gang leader who subsequently became known as “the Prophet Mohammad”, and the leader of a fairly liberal people who built and was the dominant culture of a city then and still called, Mecca, a peace treaty was signed. The treaty had to be brought into existence because Mohammad and his gang had attacked Mecca with the intention of making it his first real political/military victory after successfully robbing a number of trade caravans.
When he lost that war, he signed a deal with the Meccans to not attack them for another 10 years.
Two years later, Mohammad attacked Mecca again when he felt he was stronger and the Meccans had let down their guard.
This became the template for Islamic military strategy going forwards. It has to be understood that in Islam, Mohammad is considered to be the perfect person. Literally he should be emulated in all ways by everyone. So when you see an elderly Muslim ‘marrying’ a 6 year old girl, he is not evil in their eyes, but very religious.
Examples of the tactic used against the Meccans, the Treaty of Hudaybiyyah betrayal, are common throughout history. A famous one is the dual treaty signed by the earliest Marines after fighting the Jihadis on the oceans known as ‘The Barbary Pirates’ back to Tripoli where the English copy of the treaty and the Arabic were not the same.
The most recent example is likely Oct. 7 in Israel where a group of Muslims totally snapped up on bloodlust attacked young partiers at a music festival in 2023. The Israelis, (despite the propaganda) actually believed that Hamas was now concerned more with trying to create an economy and a better life for their people and had given up the intention of Jihad and Jewish genocide.
(I have this from personal conversations with a lot of people in positions to know)
It is clearly at most, a minor variation of the strategy of the Treaty of Hudaybiyyah.
At around 3 minutes, President Trump mentions the one rocket that didn’t land.
He is likely referring to an Iranian missile fired towards Israel at a non-target. This would be a test. Break the cease fire in a small way. get no response. Then break it in incrementally larger ways.
Islam wins primarily by deception, and taking advantage of how the enemy, all of us, think. Much like communism. We just can’t believe they think as they do. And we like feeling virtuous. So we risk ourselves to trust the other.
Trump may or may not understand this and may or may not be playing “4D chess” as they say.
We know he is capable of it. But the ethos and raw strategic nature of Islam is exactly as I said. Mohammad was the perfect man.
Whatever he did is to be emulated in all ways by all Muslims.
If Mohammad won a military victory by using a peace deal as a gambit then Muslim polities are to do that.
Muslim armies have in fact done that repeatedly.
A ‘harmless’ rocket fired ‘by accident’ from Iran is a test of resolve. The only way to deal with it, is a major response which diminishes Iran’s ability to wage war.
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Author: Eeyore
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