The president’s woes with black voters continued as one CNN analyst reported on some “truly historic” polling in favor of the GOP.
“My goodness, gracious.”
(Video: CNN)
The same day President Joe Biden glossed over his own record on segregation while marking the 70th anniversary of the 1954 Supreme Court ruling on Brown v. Board of Education, CNN’s senior data reporter Harry Enten was painting a “pretty dire” picture of the Democratic incumbent’s outlook among black voters.
Joining CNN anchor Sara Sidner, the analyst was asked, “How does black voters’ support look when compared to a few years ago?”
Regarding an average of unspecified polls, Enten began, “Look, you look at 2024, Biden still leads among black voters over Donald Trump — 69% in an average of polls. But look at this number for Donald Trump; 22%.”
“Where was Donald Trump at this point four years ago in the polls? He was just at 9% of the votes. So, he’s seen more than a doubling in his support among African Americans,” he explained. “This margin, which was in the 70s just four years ago, look at where it is now — 69 minus 22. That puts it in the 40s. My goodness, gracious.”
Arriving at the meat of the topic, how those numbers impacted the 2024 race for the White House, Enten expressed, “If this held through the general election — obviously we’re still months away — this would be by far the best performance for a Republican candidate among black voters in a generation, two generations, probably since 1960 and Richard Nixon against John F. Kennedy. That’s how long we’re really talking about when we’re looking at this margin here. This could be a truly historic margin. It’s quite a troubling sign for the Biden campaign, Sara.”
Of course, the analysis didn’t end there as a breakdown of averages from CNN/SSRS, ABC News/IPSOS, and NBC News showed that the greatest support among black voters for former President Donald Trump was among those under the age of 50.
According to the data, Trump brought in an average of 25% for that demographic compared to Biden’s 62%. By contrast, the average for voters over 50 years old saw the Democrat leading the Republican 82% to 8%.
Sidner reacted, “Of course, this is not the only thing that Joe Biden has to worry about, although these numbers look pretty dire and very different than they did in the last election.”
An attempt to shift gears toward overall turnout hardly spun positive for the incumbent as Enten indicated at this stage there was a drop in expected voter turnout as well with only 73% claiming they were certain to vote compared to 83% in 2020.
Meanwhile, Biden posed with the Little Rock Nine Friday at the National Museum of African American History and Culture in Washington, D.C. where he had spoken on Brown, contradicting his own record on segregation that included opposing busing and eulogizing outspoken segregationists including former KKK member, West Virginia Sen. Robert Byrd (D) and South Carolina Sen. Strom Thurmond (D).
Likewise, Bernice King, the CEO of the Martin Luther King, Jr. Center For Nonviolent Social Change and youngest daughter to the renowned civil rights leader called out the disconnect between the Democratic Party and black voters during a recent interview.
“I think there are people in the black community who are feeling like not a lot has changed,” she told Bloomberg Television, “especially economically, in the black community, and I think many of them are being driven by that.”
“And it’s not speculation, especially black males who seem to be more attracted to Donald Trump and his candidacy, and I think there has to be a plan, a strategy for the Biden administration to really creatively figure out how to reach especially this next generation who’s very disgruntled right now with the Biden administration,” added King. “It’s not going to be easy, unfortunately, but this probably is the most defining election of my time.”
Despite the narrative, social media users scorned by past polling remained skeptical about the numbers.
Much much more likely is that the pollsters cannot accurately poll black and minority voters
— Max (@Juicewag) May 17, 2024
I have serious doubts about these numbers for obvious reasons. I think the polling industry is grossly overestimating Trump’s black support and it’s looking like groupthink at this point
— GussTheLawyer ⚖️ (@gussthelawyer) May 17, 2024
After the polling psyop of 2022 that predicted a red wave, forgive me for not believing 1 out of every 4 black voters under 50 supports Trump
— Jock Jams Nationalism (@rothbard_celine) May 17, 2024
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Author: Kevin Haggerty
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