So much for that imports-driven mini recession in Q1.
One quarter after liberal economists cried with delight when the US economy contracted as a result of a surge in imports (even as consumption remained solid), moments ago the Bureau of Econ Analysis reported that the first estimate of Q2 GDP came in at an unexpectedly brisk 3.0%, a complete reversal of the -0.5% decline in Q1…
… and well above the 2.6% estimate, if inside the 1-sigma upper distribution band.
The increase in real GDP in the second quarter reflected a decrease in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP (and thus boosted bottom-line GDP), and an increase in consumer spending. These movements were partly offset by decreases in investment and exports.Â
Developing
Tyler Durden
Wed, 07/30/2025 – 08:46
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Author: Tyler Durden
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