California’s Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom came out victorious this week in the recall effort that was leveled against him by Republicans. However, this may not have been as big of a win for Newsom and the left as they may think it is.
When Newsom was elected governor back in 2018, he was seen as an anti-Donald Trump hero of the Resistance movement and as a potential future Democratic presidential candidate. Three years later, however, Newsom’s state has descended into chaos with an out-of-control homeless problem, heat waves that trigger rolling blackouts, droughts, wildfires, and more.
While Newsom was able to win against a Republican effort to take him down, this recall has exposed the fact that there are many California Democrats who are eager to move on from him to someone who will actually fix the problems in their state.
“I think there are Democrats who are watching this thing with their bibs on and their forks and knives out,” veteran California GOP strategist Rob Stutzman told The Associated Press.
While Newsom and the Democrat establishment were able to stop any Democrats from running against him in this recall, he may not be able to stop them from running against him in 2022. This would open the door for a far more moderate Democrat to take him on next year, which could prove to be deadly for Newsom’s political career.
Then there’s the fact that this recall showed that California Democrats are slowly losing the Latino vote. Democrat operatives in the state were horrified to see that Newsom only carried 60% of the Latino vote, down from the 64% of this vote that he obtained in 2018. Early polls also showed that the majority of Latinos in the state actively supported the recall effort against Newsom.
“Donald Trump got a historic number of Latino votes in 2020, and you can claim it was because of this or because of that, but it’s not like Larry Elder broke through for these folks. There is something else going on,” Michael Trujillo, a Democratic strategist based in Los Angeles, told NBC News. He was referring to the leading Republican candidate who took Newsom on in this recall.
“We’re seeing something happen in blue-state California, where a certain segment of the Latino population is trending in the wrong direction,” he added, making the panic the Democrats feel about losing this vote clear.
Since almost four out of ten Californians are Latino, any shift in their voting numbers is significant.
“We all do such a good job of dissecting the white electorate, and for some reason, we can’t do that with Latinos,” said Christian Arana, the vice president of policy at the California-based Latino Community Foundation.
“Because outreach historically has been late, underinvested, and, quite frankly, kind of lazy, I feel like a lot of people are just missing the big picture here,” he said. “You can’t just come to our community and talk to us about immigration.”
Arana went on to say that getting the Latino vote isn’t as simple as many Democrat lawmakers seem to think it is.
“The big warning is that you can’t relent on the outreach. The outreach needs to happen every single day,” he said. “We’re a complex and broad swath of people who make up the Latino vote, and the candidates and political parties who recognize that and also invest in outreach will probably fare the best.”
Latinos as a culture know firsthand the dangers of socialism and communism, so it’s understandable that they are starting to become turned off by Democrats like Newsom as their rhetoric gets more and more radically liberal. One prominent Latina leader, former State Senate Democratic leader Gloria Romero, even endorsed Elder in the recall election, saying that he was the “best option” to replace Newsom.
“I was just tired of the false narrative that was put forward that this was a right-wing conspiracy,” she told Fox News earlier this month. “There are 1.7 million Californians that signed that recall petition – I was one of them.”
“I was tired of the ‘rules for thee but not for me’ attitude of the prince of the French laundry, who shut down our public schools but then he sent his kids to school,” Romero added. “I looked at Larry’s record and believe that he’s our best option to really break the monopoly of special interest when it comes to education and to offer, especially Latino and African American families in California school choice options.”
Much to the dismay of Democrats, a growing number of Latinos seem to agree with Romero.
In the end, Newsom’s recall victory wasn’t nearly as big of a win as he and his fellow leftists may think it is. The recall effort exposed many of Newsom’s weaknesses as a leader and reminded the people of California of just how far their state has fallen since he took office.
The recall effort also showed that Democrats are in grave danger of losing the Latino vote, which is a huge deal in the heavily Latino state of California. Newsom may have won this war, but he shouldn’t get too comfortable in the governor’s mansion, because it’s looking like his chances of winning in 2022 may not be as good as he thought they were prior to the recall.
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Author: James Samson
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