By Paul Homewood
Cherry picking from the Met Office!
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England saw a record amount of rainfall in the year and a half leading up to last month, new figures show.
According to provisional figures from the Met Office, 1,695.9mm of rain fell from October 2022 to March 2024.
This is the highest amount of rain for any 18-month period in England since the organisation began collecting comparable data back in 1836.
It beat the previous record of 1,680.2mm – which had only been set the month before, covering September 2022 to February 2024.
Now I wonder why they would pick an 18-month period? Particularly one that includes two winters and one summer. Hardly very scientific is it, Met Office? Are you claiming there is any significance of this compared with other periods which might include two summers and one winter, given that winter rainfall is generally much higher.
As for the claim it broke the previous record set last month is simply absurd – they are both part and parcel of the same run of weather.
So let’s do a proper analysis instead – indeed the one the Met Office should have done. We’ll start with a 12-month period, ending March:
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/datasets/Rainfall/date/England.txt
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It was actually a much wetter 12 months in 2000/01 and 2013/14. And the last 12 months has only been marginally wetter than 1872/73 and 1882/83.
What about the last 24-months then?
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The results are even less exceptional, with the last 24 months being only the 7th wettest. Again 2000/02 and 2012/14 feature at the top, and we also find that 1871/73 was wetter.
The 1870s and 80s were clearly as wet as anything seen in the last decade; for instance the 24 months to March 1877 had only 10mm less rain than the current period, whilst 1881 to 1884 saw almost as wet weather.
The Met Office are only concerned propaganda, that our weather is becoming more extreme because of climate change. And they will use whatever statistical trickery they need to do it.
I challenge them to publish the full data.
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Author: Paul Homewood
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