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Several electoral and demographic factors in North Carolina could put the red state in play for President Joe Biden in November, political experts told the Daily Caller News Foundation.
Democrats are setting their sights on North Carolina as opposed to other battleground states like Georgia for a rematch with former President Donald Trump. The narrow margin Trump won by in 2020, population changes in the state and the election of Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Robinson might put North Carolina back on the map for Biden this cycle, according to political scientists and state operatives.
“Looks like at this point, North Carolina is the Trump state that is most likely to be in play in 2024, while there are half a dozen Biden states that are expected to be in play,” Charles Bullock, a political science professor at the University of Georgia who specializes in southern politics and elections, told the DCNF.
The report explains that the battleground states of Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, which were used to put Joe Biden in the White House in the 2020 election, are now leaning toward Trump in 2024.
Trump is currently leading Biden by 5.5 points in North Carolina, but a huge number of Democrat-leaning voters have moved to the state since 2020, so Democrats think they can leverage that influx to flip the state.
Morgan Jackson, a Democratic consultant based out of North Carolina, claimed in a statement to the Daily Caller, “One of the reasons that President Biden is so laser focused on North Carolina is because North Carolina’s a state in transition, and is a state that demographically is urbanizing, is getting more college educated, the urban areas are growing really rapidly, and that is having the biggest impact on North Carolina’s electoral landscape for the last five years and for the next ten or 20 years.”
“Virtually every county in the state that is growing rapidly in population is getting more Democratic,” Jackson added.
CLICK HERE to read more from the Daily Caller.
One poll not only shows Trump leading Biden by 5 points in North Carolina, but also shows Republican Mark Robinson leading his Democrat opponent Josh Sein by 5 points.
NORTH CAROLINA POLL: @cygnal
President
🟥 Trump 45% (+5)
🟦 Biden 40%
—
Governor
🟥 Robinson 44% (+5)
🟦 Stein 39%
🟨 Ross 2%
🟩 Turner 1%
—
State Supreme Court
🟥 Griffin 41% (+2)
🟦 *Riggs 39%
—
Attorney General
🟥 Bishop 41% (+2)
🟦 Jackson 39%
—
Labor commissioner
🟥… pic.twitter.com/a9auTYyrkl— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) March 12, 2024
However, Democrats are touting another poll which shows Stein leading Robinson by 2 points.
BREAKING: A new North Carolina poll shows @JoshStein_ leading Mark Robinson by just two points. This race is going to be closer than ever, and we can’t take our feet off the gas. #NCGov pic.twitter.com/Q0EvCQvqJ8
— Democratic Governors (@DemGovs) March 13, 2024
TARGET ACQUIREDhttps://t.co/iF8s06WH8L
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) March 17, 2024
Axios also reported:
North Carolina is once again seen as a key swing state for both Biden and former President Trump in this November’s election, and the two parties will compete heavily and at a high price for its votes.
Between the lines: North Carolina has proven to be an elusive target for Democratic presidential candidates since former President Barack Obama won the state in 2008. Obama lost here by about 2 percentage points in 2012, and Trump won it in both 2016 and 2020.
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But some national Democrats believe they have a better chance in North Carolina this year than they do in Georgia, which Biden won in 2020, the New York Times reports.
The Biden campaign is ramping up North Carolina staff while launching a multimillion-dollar ad buy.
Obama lost the state by about 2 percentage points in 2012, and Trump won it in both 2016 and 2020 elections. https://t.co/SSEJzkHWPk
— Axios (@axios) March 15, 2024
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The post REPORT: Could Democrats Flip This Red State In 2024? appeared first on Dennis Michael Lynch.
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